Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.000669 0.000759 0.000854 0.000962 0.001080 0.001206 0.001349
2025-12-07 0.000527 0.000652 0.000792 0.000961 0.001158 0.001379 0.001645
2025-12-14 0.000444 0.000582 0.000746 0.000951 0.001199 0.001488 0.001847
2025-12-21 0.000378 0.000524 0.000703 0.000936 0.001227 0.001577 0.002022
2025-12-28 0.000344 0.000500 0.000697 0.000961 0.001301 0.001718 0.002262
2026-01-04 0.000313 0.000474 0.000685 0.000976 0.001360 0.001840 0.002478
2026-01-11 0.000278 0.000440 0.000658 0.000968 0.001386 0.001919 0.002642
2026-01-18 0.000247 0.000407 0.000631 0.000956 0.001404 0.001987 0.002790
2026-01-25 0.000227 0.000389 0.000620 0.000965 0.001449 0.002090 0.002986
2026-02-01 0.000207 0.000369 0.000607 0.000968 0.001485 0.002180 0.003165
2026-02-08 0.000181 0.000336 0.000571 0.000937 0.001472 0.002203 0.003254
2026-02-15 0.000160 0.000309 0.000542 0.000913 0.001465 0.002233 0.003351
2026-02-22 0.000145 0.000292 0.000527 0.000909 0.001488 0.002305 0.003509
2026-03-01 0.000132 0.000277 0.000514 0.000908 0.001516 0.002384 0.003679
2026-03-08 0.000119 0.000260 0.000497 0.000898 0.001528 0.002441 0.003817
2026-03-15 0.000107 0.000242 0.000477 0.000884 0.001533 0.002485 0.003939
2026-03-22 0.000102 0.000239 0.000482 0.000908 0.001597 0.002619 0.004190
2026-03-29 0.000097 0.000233 0.000481 0.000923 0.001646 0.002730 0.004412
2026-04-05 0.000088 0.000220 0.000467 0.000915 0.001659 0.002788 0.004557
2026-04-12 0.000079 0.000207 0.000451 0.000903 0.001666 0.002835 0.004685
2026-04-19 0.000074 0.000201 0.000447 0.000912 0.001705 0.002933 0.004891
2026-04-26 0.000069 0.000193 0.000440 0.000914 0.001734 0.003015 0.005075
2026-05-03 0.000060 0.000177 0.000417 0.000885 0.001709 0.003013 0.005129